As our tipster Jones Knows attacks the midweek card, West Ham have the attacking firepower and physicality to burst Liverpool's bubble at Anfield on Wednesday.

Tuesday, 7.30 p.m., Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest

At Brighton, Roberto De Zerbi did the wise thing by keeping most aspects of the game on display, much like Graham Potter. None more so than their carelessness in front of goal.

After scoring three goals at Anfield, they've had 38 shots in their last two games, resulting in an expected goal total of 2.68. It's very Brighton, but the positive attacking chance creation metrics show what a well-coordinated unit De Zerbi has to work with. Everyone is aware of their responsibilities.

Nottingham Forest, on the other hand, appear to have abandoned their early season attacking approach in favor of a block defense aimed at stealing a point or two. Steve Cooper's team has a non-penalty expected goal return of 1.02 in their last two games, indicating that they aren't entirely comfortable in their own skin just yet. Brighton are expected to dominate and should, emphasis on the word "should," score a couple of goals.

All Bet snipped Solly March's shot prices, so that angle is gone, but his goalscorer price remains absolutely soaked in value at 7/1. That's something I'm sure I've said before.

However, against one of the Premier League's most welcoming defenses, a player with an attacking metrics of 2.17 in non-penalty expected goals - the 26th highest of any player in the league this season - should be backed to score when the anytime price is large enough. It has now been 55 shots since he last scored, and no player in the Premier League this season has had more shots (20) or more shots on target (9) without scoring.

Tuesday, 8.15 p.m., Crystal Palace vs. Wolves

Set pieces will undoubtedly play a large role in such tight games, and Palace's inability to defend their box from such situations remains a weakness. They have only conceded two goals from set pieces this season, but their expected goals data suggests they should have conceded nearly five - the worst record (4.79) of any Premier League team this season. Since Patrick Viera's appointment, only Leicester, Everton, and Southampton have shipped more expected goals against from set pieces than Palace (19.3).

At the weekend, Timothy Castagne should have scored with a header from eight yards out, continuing a trend of defenders having very presentable scoring chances against Palace. This season, Thiago Silva, Sven Botman, Fabian Schar, Ben Mee, Zanka, John Stones, Ezri Konsa, Nat Phillips, and Virgil van Dijk have all had at least one set piece shot against Palace.

As a result, the prices for Max Kilman for Wolves stand out as particularly hefty. He may have only scored once for Wolves, but he goes up for every set piece and hit the post against Nottingham Forest. With All Bet, he is 11/8 to have at least one shot on goal and 50/1 to score the first goal. Both are worthy of support.

Wednesday, 7.30 p.m., Bournemouth vs. Southampton - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

From the standpoint of the match market, this is a difficult one. All three outcomes appear to be feasible and are priced accordingly. Bournemouth appear to be in a confident mood at the moment, having moved to six games unbeaten with their draw at Fulham, whereas Southampton do have a higher level of quality within their ranks. This one's a fence job.

Gary O'Neil has made some very wise football decisions since taking over, one of which was to play the very dangerous Phillip Billing higher up the pitch in support of Dominic Solanke.

He has three goals in his last five games and set up Solanke for the opening goal at Fulham in a very silky piece of play. The 11/10 with All Bet deserves a lot of credit for having at least one shot on target.

Wednesday, 7.30 p.m., Liverpool vs. West Ham - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

A single swallow does not constitute a summer. One result should not be used to conceal longer-term issues. I'm rooting against Liverpool here.

For my money, the market has been far too swayed by Liverpool's win over Manchester City.

Are they now back to their best? Despite their fantastically brave and intense performance on Super Sunday, I want to see them back it up before jumping on their bandwagon. Liverpool's defense remains vulnerable, with just three clean sheets in their last 13 Premier League games.

West Ham's ability to counter-attack and physicality at set-pieces make them a dangerous opponent. They also bring some impressive attacking metrics from their last three games, in which Jarrod Bowen, Gianluca Scamacca, and Lucas Paqueta shone. It equates to West Ham having a total expected goals return of 5.64 and 60 shots on goal - no team has had more in that time period.

I'm all over the Hammers making it difficult for Jurgen Klopp's men this evening. My main bet is a safe bet of West Ham with a +2 goal start at 4/6 with Sky Bet, which means we'll have a winner as long as Liverpool doesn't win by two or more goals. However, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in the match are available at Evens, and West Ham to score two or more goals is available at 11/4. When assessing the prices for a match prediction, the away win stands out.

Wednesday, 7.30 p.m., Brentford vs. Chelsea - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Chelsea did me a huge favor by winning to nil at Aston Villa at the weekend, but I'm happy to swerve them here at 4/6 with All Sports Bet. Sunday was my first time seeing Chelsea under Graham Potter, and I was completely underwhelmed, especially defensively. Aston Villa had an expected goals figure of 1.79, Chelsea had Kepa Arrizabalaga in ridiculous form, and Villa's individual errors gifted Chelsea both goals.

As Aston Villa swung in 30 crosses and caused havoc, they were very hesitant to direct balls down both channels. Brentford likes to get the ball forward quickly at home, so this will be another defensive test for the Blues, who are playing their sixth game in 19 days and may simply lack intensity in the cut and thrust of a west London derby that means a lot to the Bees.

This was evident in the two meetings last season, in which Brentford performed admirably, losing 1-0 at home before storming to a 4-1 victory at Stamford Bridge. The expected goals data from those two meetings also showed that Brentford had Chelsea's number, winning that battle 3.21 vs 2.03 over the two games. Brentford to win or draw at 6/5 with All Sports Bet is a price I want on my side.

At these prices, combining a pro-Brentford result with total match shots has a lot of appeal. Brentford's home matches have averaged 24.7 match shots per 90 minutes since promotion to the Premier League, and I'd expect that number to be higher for a game involving an elite attack like Chelsea's plus the intense derby atmosphere.

Brentford had 34 shots in two games against Chelsea last season, with the game at Stamford Bridge producing a whopping 38 match shots. I'm happy to play the 27 or more shots, which appears to be a nice play, and I'm also happy to combine it with the 6/5 on Brentford double chance, with double stakes recommended.

Wednesday, 7.30 p.m., Newcastle vs. Everton - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

Everton has been plagued by low-scoring games this season. There have only been 19 goals scored in their matches - both for and against - with that 1.9 average per game implying that only Wolves' games have had fewer goals. It also makes sense given the switch in style under Frank Lampard to playing with a very secure base at the back while not causing too many problems for opposing defenses.

Newcastle take a similar defensive-first approach to games under Eddie Howe, but the Toon have a greater depth of attacking options to punish teams with. Only Liverpool and Manchester City have conceded fewer goals than Newcastle in 2022, and the back four performed admirably in the 0-0 draw at Old Trafford, fully deserving of their clean sheet. In a game that screams under 2.5 goals, another should be on the way. You should have a good run if the Toon win with under 2.5 goals at 3/1 withAll Sports Bet.

Wednesday, 8.15 p.m., Manchester United vs. Tottenham - PLAY SUPER 6 HERE!

I'm not ready to put my faith in Manchester United just yet. Consistency issues persist for a club still in transition, and Christian Eriksen's injury doesn't help matters - he is doubtful to play again. This will be a big test for United against a Tottenham team led by Antonio Conte who has a strong chin. It's a workmanlike style of football that requires excellence in both boxes, but unlike previous Spurs teams, this team is learning how to win. Unfortunately, the markets agree that Spurs are the better team here, and while I like them for the away win, 15/8 with All Sports Bet is reasonable.

A Spurs system change, on the other hand, might entice me to place some bets. Yves Bissouma is expected to start in a three-man midfield, as he did against Everton, and this should give Pierre Emile-Hojbjerg and Rodrigo Bentancur more freedom to support the front two, as seen with Bentancur assisting Hojbjerg for the second goal on Saturday.

Bentancur has a 5/6 chance of getting one or more shots, while Hojbjerg has a 2/1 chance of getting two or more. Both are appealing, but it is entirely dependent on team news whether I will pull the trigger.

Thursday, 7.30 p.m., Fulham vs. Aston Villa

Fulham are the Premier League team to play if you want to boost the confidence of your strikers.

Aston Villa will have chances against a team that has conceded at least two goals in nine of their 11 games this season, including a Carabao Cup match against Crawley Town. Dominic Solanke became Fulham's eighth centre forward to score this season, as the club's weakness through the heart of their defense remains unaddressed.

Thursday, 8.15 p.m., Leicester vs. Leeds

Look at their match prices if you need proof that Leicester are rated much higher than a relegation-threatened team. Despite being joint-bottom of the table with just one win and missing their best player in James Maddison due to suspension for this match, they are still 5/4 favourites with All Sports Bet to beat Leeds, who have shown they are no mugs in patches this season.

Leicester is expected to improve its results and climb the table. I can definitely see it. They were the better team in the 0-0 draw with Crystal Palace, playing with plenty of creativity but failing to convert it into good quality chances due to Palace's deep defending.